The Commission in Charge of the National Study of the El Niño Phenomenon (ENFEN) has declared that it is still “premature” to speak of a very strong ‘El Niño’ event, known as ‘Super Niño’. According to their latest report, there are not enough conditions to confirm the occurrence of such a significant phenomenon, despite speculation in some media and social networks.
Since February, warming has been recorded in the Niño 1+2 area, off the northern coast of Peru, associated with a Coastal El Niño event. This phenomenon could extend until January 2027, reaching a moderate magnitude by the fall of 2026. For this reason, ENFEN maintains the alert for Coastal El Niño.
In the central equatorial Pacific, conditions remain within a neutral range, although a warming trend is observed. Specialists anticipate that a weak magnitude El Niño event could develop in that region starting in mid-2026, with the possibility of extending into early 2027.
ENFEN holds biweekly meetings to update its forecasts and plans to conduct oceanographic cruises in the Peruvian sea to improve the accuracy of its assessments. This monitoring is crucial, as warming in the central Pacific could impact climate and food security in the country, as discussed in a recent interview with RPP.
